Baghdad and Erbil reach tentative agreement on Kirkuk oil sales

Tentative deal reportedly in­volves splitting sale proceeds from 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) of resumed Kirkuk oil flow 50-50 be­tween State Oil Marketing Organisation and KRG.

A 2014 file photo shows a Kurdish peshmerga fighter standing guard as new equipment arrives at Kalak refinery on the outskirts of Erbil, Iraq.


2016/09/11 Issue: 72 Page: 21


The Arab Weekly
Jareer Elass



Washington - Iraq’s federal government and the Kurdistan Regional Govern­ment (KRG) have tentatively resolved their dispute over the export and sales of Kirkuk oil produced by the federal government in northern Iraq via the KRG-owned export pipeline system through Turkey. Baghdad, however, left the door open to other export routes for its Kirkuk oil, including trucking it from Kirkuk to Iran, if necessary.

The agreement to resume export­ing Kirkuk crude through the KRG-operated pipeline following a five-month suspension came after the appointment of a new Iraqi Oil min­ister and a visit by KRG Prime Min­ister Nechirvan Barzani to Baghdad to meet with Iraqi Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi.

This tentative deal reportedly in­volves splitting sale proceeds from 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) of resumed Kirkuk oil flow 50-50 be­tween Iraq’s State Oil Marketing Organisation (SOMO) and the KRG. Additional details are still to be hammered out between Iraq’s Oil Ministry and the KRG’s Natural Re­sources Ministry.

Newly appointed Iraqi Oil Minis­ter Jabar Ali al-Luaibi authorised the resumption of Kirkuk crude exports through the KRG pipeline to the Turkish port of Ceyhan as a “good faith” gesture ahead of Barzani’s meeting with Abadi.

The prickly relationship between Baghdad and Erbil — the two rou­tinely tussle over budget allocation payments, ownership of Kirkuk oil, equitable distribution of oil pro­ceeds and the KRG’s drive for in­dependence — means there are no guarantees that the Kirkuk dispute has been resolved.

In February, the KRG began in­cluding crude volumes from Kirkuk oil field production operated by the federal government’s North Oil Company (NOC) into its own Kirkuk volumes in its official monthly ex­port data, rather than separating out the NOC barrels as it had previously done.

This suggested that the KRG was no longer acknowledging Baghdad’s sovereignty over NOC’s Kirkuk-based oil operations. In March, the Iraqi Oil Ministry authorised NOC to cease pumping its Kirkuk crude into the KRG pipeline system.

Kirkuk oil has been an issue be­tween Baghdad and Erbil since the KRG took control over much of the Kirkuk region in 2014, including two oil fields, the Bai Hassan and Avana fields that had been operated by the NOC. Baghdad viewed Erbil’s sei­zure of the two Kirkuk fields as il­legal; the KRG has insisted it moved to protect the Kirkuk region in the absence of Iraqi government troops as the peshmerga effectively routed Islamic State (ISIS) forces. However, Erbil has made no secret that it has deemed Kirkuk part of KRG terri­tory.

When the KRG began exporting crude through its pipeline system to Ceyhan in mid-2015, SOMO was cut out of any oversight of the sales. Baghdad has always insisted that SOMO be the sole marketer of Iraqi crude, of which it considers KRG oil to be part. The KRG began its own exports after accusing Baghdad of not honouring a revenue-sharing agreement and not allocating Er­bil enough money from the federal budget.

Iraqi oil officials had warned that should an agreement with the KRG over the disputed Kirkuk barrels not be reached Baghdad would con­sider a “swaps” arrangement with Tehran, in which 150,000 bpd of its Kirkuk crude would supply north­ern Iran with the Iraqi federal gov­ernment taking the same volume of Iranian oil from Iranian ports on the Gulf.

The KRG coalition government’s minority party, the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK) — which is close­ly allied with Tehran, supports that option. It has long argued that the KRG’s dominant party, the Kurdish Democratic Party (KDP), does not equitably share revenues with the PUK from oil sales.

A PUK delegation recently trav­elled to Baghdad to argue the case that the KDP should no longer have control over Kirkuk oil revenues. Not surprisingly, the PUK is actively promoting a deal with Iran in which two pipelines would carry crude from PUK-controlled oil fields in Kurdistan into Iran as part of a long-term “swaps” arrangement.

Both the federal government and KRG are reeling from financial crises brought about by the costly battle waged against ISIS and sus­tained low oil prices. Baghdad has been successful at ratcheting up its oil production to about 4.6 million bpd but the International Monetary Fund anticipates that the Iraqi fed­eral government will record a $17 billion budget deficit this year.

The KRG, which produces about 500,000 bpd from its own territory, is unable to meet monthly budget expenses, of which it says some $800 million is needed to pay civil service salaries — with almost 40% of that dedicated to peshmerga fighters. It would appear that this fi­nancial pressure is a strong impetus for Erbil to come to an agreement with Baghdad on sharing Kirkuk ex­ports, regardless of how temporary it may prove to be.


Jareer Elass is a Washington-based energy analyst, with 25 years of industry experience and a particular focus on the Arabian Gulf producers and OPEC.


As Printed
MENA Now
Editors' Picks

The Arab Weekly Newspaper reaches Western & Arabic audience that are influential as well as being affluent.

From Europe to the Middle East,and North America, The Arab Weekly talks to opinion formers and influential figures, providing insight and comment on national, international and regional news through the focus of Arabic countries and community.

Published by Al Arab Publishing House

Publisher and Group Executive Editor: Haitham El-Zobaidi, PhD

Editor-in-Chief: Oussama Romdhani

Managing Editor: Iman Zayat

Deputy Managing Editor and Online Editor: Mamoon Alabbasi

Senior Editor: John Hendel

Chief Copy Editor: Richard Pretorius

Copy Editor: Stephen Quillen

Analysis Section Editor: Ed Blanche

East/West Section Editor: Mark Habeeb

Gulf Section Editor: Mohammed Alkhereiji

Society and Travel Sections Editor: Samar Kadi

Syria and Lebanon Sections Editor: Simon Speakman Cordall

Contributing Editor: Rashmee Roshan Lall

Senior Correspondents: Mahmud el-Shafey (London) & Lamine Ghanmi (Tunis)

Regular Columnists

Claude Salhani

Yavuz Baydar

Correspondents

Saad Guerraoui (Casablanca)

Dunia El-Zobaidi (London)

Roua Khlifi (Tunis)

Thomas Seibert (Washington)

Chief Designer: Marwen Hmedi

Designers

Ibrahim Ben Bechir

Hanen Jebali

Published by Al Arab Publishing House

Contact editor at:editor@thearabweekly.com

Subscription & Advertising: Ads@alarab.co.uk

Tel 020 3667 7249

Mohamed Al Mufti

Marketing & Advertising Manager

Tel (Main) +44 20 6702 3999

Direct: +44 20 8742 9262

www.alarab.co.uk

Al Arab Publishing House

Kensington Centre

177-179 Hammersmith Road

London W6 8BS , UK

Tel: (+44) 20 7602 3999

Fax: (+44) 20 7602 8778

Follow Us
© The Arab Weekly, All rights reserved